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Crown Green Handicap

Hayley Jones

Team: ThingwallDivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1019

Current Handicap

6
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

7

Wins

4

Losses

64%

Win Rate

7.4

Avg Win Margin

9.8

Avg Loss Margin

6-3

Home Record

1-1

Away Record

42%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 17 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/20/2026

Only 11 of the 17 matches needed for full confidence in the 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 154/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+6 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 May13 Jul23 Jul28 Jul4 Aug20 Aug-1258

Gives 6 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current6
Win Percentage(40%)
64%
score+0.27→contribution+0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.4
score-0.10→contribution-0.02
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.8
score-0.29→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
64%
score+0.27→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
1048
score+0.32→contribution+0.03
Weighted Score+0.101
Sample Size Confidence
42%(11/17 matches)
Rating1050 → shrunk 1021
Recent 1-Season Rating (2026)1007
Recency Blend15% (11 recent matches)
Final Rating1019
Handicap
6

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 17, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

7W4L11 matches·63.6% win rate
+25 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall2026Division 1117463.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/20/2026Sue Nugent (SA)H21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
8/12/2026Sue Jenkins (SA)A21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
8/4/2026Jean Clark (SB)H10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
7/30/2026Gaynor GreenfieldH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Freda Whalley (SA)H21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
7/27/2026Hillary RiceH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
7/23/2026Pauline Haines (SA)H21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026Joan Moss (FA)H10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
7/13/2026Jamilah Ball (FA)A15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
7/7/2026Elaine Jeanrenaud (FB)H21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Val Cecchini (SA)H10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWLWW
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WWLWWWWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Sue Nugent (SA)101100%8/20/2026
Sue Jenkins (SA)101100%8/12/2026
Jean Clark (SB)0110%8/4/2026
Gaynor Greenfield101100%7/30/2026
Freda Whalley (SA)101100%7/28/2026
Hillary Rice101100%7/27/2026
Pauline Haines (SA)101100%7/23/2026
Joan Moss (FA)0110%7/21/2026
Jamilah Ball (FA)0110%7/13/2026
Elaine Jeanrenaud (FB)101100%7/7/2026
Biggest Win
Sue Jenkins (SA) (+12)8/12/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Jean Clark (SB) (-11)8/4/2026
Best Season
202664% · 11 matches
Worst Season
202664% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
40% → 83%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
10599 known · 2 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
4-267% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-167% win rate
Division 163.6%
7W·4L·11 played

Debut

May 26, 2026

Latest

Aug 20, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (11 total)

Seasons

2026